• Leonard Brecken

Real Interest Rates

Most know interest rate remain low, but HOW low maybe not. Despite 5 0.25% interest rate increases from Federal Reserve, the real Fed Funds Rate (The stated rate minus Core Consumer Price Index) is still negative. Common sense says it should be positive as bond investors ex inflation should require positive real rates. Point is rates are rising and will continue for a while as the market expects (2-3 more Fed rate hikes this year at least).


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Trade War & Split Congress

Just wanted to take a moment to make a few comments as we head into 2019 post the elections. The GOP losing control of the House in our view has increased the odds that the Trade War with other count

The Economic Road Past & Future

Some of you haven't know me long and others understandably don't read every article/post I write. So I thought it necessary to review where we came from and where we are going (at least where I think

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